This La Liga clash presents a tactical battle where defensive solidity and underlying metrics suggest value. Oviedo's inflated form and key midfield injury, coupled with Alavés' robust xGA defense and xGCA underperformance, point towards a low-scoring affair. Market signals also indicate a sharp move towards unders. Despite Oviedo's home motivation, Alavés' superior quality against top-tier opposition positions them for a narrow victory or a tight contest.