Forensic pricing evaluation for the Coors Field series finale highlights a stark pitching mismatch. Arizona sends Eduardo Rodriguez (2.89 ERA) against Colorado's Tanner Gordon (6.01 ERA), compounded by the Rockies losing 14 of 16 and a highly motivated Diamondbacks squad chasing a wild-card berth. Market lines reflect the profound baseline talent gap, yet structured regression analysis reveals a narrow mathematical edge on the run line and moneyline markets by anchoring strictly to baseline implied probabilities.