Forensic examination of this AFC matchup reveals sharp market steam materializing on Jacksonville following a dominant Week 1 performance and a distinct rest advantage. Denver enters on a compressed six-day turnaround accompanied by cross-country travel fatigue after a bruising Monday Night Football opener. While structural market power favors the elite-defending Broncos at home, line movement indicates the spread is overcorrected toward the visitors. Our model exploits this downward drift by targeting key threshold positions.