Forensic audit of the Georgia Tech versus Mercer fixture reveals extreme market asymmetry driven by Georgia Tech's winless 0-2 start. While Georgia Tech holds a distinct structural and athletic ceiling advantage as the FBS host, their defensive vulnerabilities against the run—conceding heavy yardage to Colorado and Tennessee—create viable situational value for the underdog. Professional markets price this as an extensive blowout, yet empirical metrics suggest Mercer can exploit structural inefficiencies to stay within an inflated spread line.