Forensic analysis of this Big Ten clash indicates the market is slightly overvaluing Ohio State's road vulnerabilities and travel fatigue into Kinnick Stadium. While the Buckeyes possess elite explosive capability via Julian Sayin and Jeremiah Smith, Iowa's suffocating defensive scheme and perfect home form create a resilient environment. Sharp money tracking reveals subtle early steam on the Hawkeyes' inflated spread. We isolate four disciplined value selections balancing regression limits and market anchoring.