Forensic audit of this NCAAF matchup reveals market stability with Kansas heavily favored over Middle Tennessee. Kansas benefits from a critical 14-day rest advantage following their bye week and features superior red-zone execution against a vulnerable visiting defense. Middle Tennessee exhibits solid turnover margin metrics but struggles on the road with back-to-back away fixtures. Utilizing model-anchored probability metrics, we isolate sustainable value across spread and moneyline structures while respecting risk thresholds.