Forensic auditing of the Air Force versus Nevada matchup highlights distinct pricing anomalies driven by market steam on the Falcons and downward drift on the Wolf Pack. Air Force enters with a rest advantage off a bye week and established tactical dominance in the series, facing a Nevada squad fighting turnover inconsistencies. By anchoring model metrics strictly to professional market baselines, we isolate value discrepancies across moneyline and spread distributions to maximize portfolio efficiency.