The Ottawa Senators open their home schedule against a struggling Philadelphia Flyers squad that was dismantled 7-0 in their opener. Market data demonstrates sharp money moving consistently onto the Philadelphia spread while Ottawa money drifts, creating inflated prices on the home side. Despite Ottawa owning a five-game head-to-head win streak and robust home splits, heavy rest disparities favor the rested Flyers. We exploit the market correction by aligning with the sustained underdog steam and defensive value angles.