Forensic audit of this NCAAF matchup indicates market overreaction to Rice's blowout loss against elite competition, generating sustainable pricing inefficiencies. Sharp money has quietly targeted the home underdog with consecutive steam signals pushing toward the Rice Owls. Western Michigan shows robust underlying metrics from a narrow defensive loss to Michigan, but travel fatigue and situational motivation heavily favor the hosts. We isolate four distinct value positions leveraging key spread numbers, moneyline correction, and total points margins.