Forensic auditing of the upcoming Valley rivalry matchup reveals subtle market efficiencies across multiple offerings. Fresno State carries superior structural pedigree despite notable defensive absences, while San Jose State leans into home-field dynamics and a pass-heavy scheme. Market drift toward the Spartans signals public backing, generating mispriced value on key numbers. Our model anchors closely to sharp baseline probabilities, isolating four distinct value vectors with optimal risk-adjusted upside for professional positioning.