Forensic auditing of the Missouri State versus SMU fixture reveals key pricing inefficiencies across alternate spreads and primary line setups. SMU holds home-field advantage and significant offensive pacing upside under Rhett Lashlee, though defensive injuries dent their depth. Market signals indicate sharp steam moving toward the underdog Missouri State, suggesting the opening spread is slightly inflated given historical blowout parameters and multi-tier travel factors. Our value model identifies actionable angles in secondary spreads and alternative totals to capture sustainable positive ROI.