Forensic audit of the NCAAF matchup between Southern Mississippi and UConn reveals mispriced defensive and situational value. UConn exhibits travel fatigue on their initial road trip and penalty vulnerabilities, while Southern Mississippi boasts a steady +3 turnover margin and home-field calibration. Our model identifies optimal pricing discrepancies across spreads, totals, and moneyline alternatives, targeting sustainable edges aligned with stable market distributions and standard professional risk thresholds.