An early afternoon turnaround following an extra-inning clash places severe strain on both bullpens. Washington's relief corps faces acute stress after Cade Cavalli's early exit, compounded by looming negative regression in high-leverage spots. Conversely, Miami's starters present positive regression value based on underlying xFIP metrics despite recent offensive stagnation. The market accurately prices a tight contest, but Miami's starting pitching edge and Washington's bullpen fatigue create marginal value on the Marlins, while Washington's aggressive baserunning keeps the runline competitive.